KXIP v CSK Preview

With a win against MI, now KKR is also into the final four!

Tomorrow's KXIP v CSK match may produce a third semifinalist in CSK. But, if KXIP wins, then CSK will join RCB, RR and KXIP in 20+ % chance of making it to semi-finals.  A loss for KXIP and their semi-final spot is gone for sure!

MI, RR, RCB, KXIP - all want CSK to lose!

Team	Current Chance		KXIP v CSK
		KXIP wins	CSK wins	No Result
DD	100.00	100.00	100.00	100.00
CSK	64.06	28.13	100.00	81.25
DC	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
RCB	18.75	25.00	12.50	25.00
MI	81.25	93.75	68.75	68.75
RR	21.88	25.00	18.75	25.00
KXIP	14.06	28.13	0.00	0.00
KKR	100.00	100.00	100.00	100.00
PWI	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00

MI v KKR Preview

It is clear that CSK and RCB are least bothered about this match!  Though RCB may hope for a rare "no result" for this match, as that boost its chances of getting a semi-final spot.

RR wants KKR to win.

KXIP wants MI to win.

Team	Current Chance		MI v KKR
		MI wins	KKR wins	No Result
DD	100.00	100.00	100.00	100.00
CSK	64.06	64.06	64.06	64.06
DC	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
RCB	18.75	18.75	18.75	21.88
MI	90.63	100.00	81.25	96.88
RR	18.75	15.63	21.88	9.38
KXIP	16.41	18.75	14.06	14.06
KKR	91.41	82.81	100.00	93.75
PWI	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00

DD v KXIP Preview

DD wins and they are through to the play-offs.  But, what happens to other teams with a Delhi win?

The table below looks at different results of this match and how that affects the chances of other teams to make to the semi finals.

Semifinal Chance %

Team	Current Chance		DD v KXIP
		DD wins	KXIP wins	No Result
DD	96.88	100.00	93.75	100.00
CSK	57.03	64.06	50.00	64.06
DC	00.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
RCB	20.31	18.75	21.88	18.75
MI	89.06	90.63	87.50	87.50
RR	17.58	18.75	16.41	16.41
KXIP	30.66	16.41	44.92	21.88
KKR	88.48	91.41	85.55	91.41
PWI	00.00	0.00	0.00	0.00

DD win improves the chances of CSK, MI, RR and KKR to get a semi-final berth.  Also, it is clear that only RCB will hope for a Kings XI's win in this match.

MI v RCB Preview

This blog post is updated, as there was an error in my calculation earlier.  Today's win will not take MI to semi-finals. Thanks to @rajeshstats for pointing out.

Mumbai Indians have their match against Bangalore today.  If MI wins this match, they are through to the play-offs!

Surprisingly, the other contenders for the play-off slots look forward to an MI win!

Here is the chance table.  This is based on the current points that the teams have gathered and on an assumption that the relative position of NRR does not change.

Team	Current Chance		RCB v MI
		RCB wins	MI wins	No Result
DD	97.85	98.44	97.27	97.27
CSK	36.04	33.01	39.06	33.01
DC	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
RCB	50.68	76.37	25.00	58.59
MI	74.46	56.74	92.19	76.17
RR	19.97	20.21	19.73	19.73
KXIP	28.61	24.71	32.52	24.71
KKR	92.38	90.53	94.24	90.53
PWI	0	0	0	0

Team	Current Chance		RCB v MI
		RCB wins	MI wins	No Result
DD	97.85	94.53	96.09	96.09
CSK	36.04	27.34	39.06	27.34
DC	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
RCB	50.68	68.75	23.83	52.34
MI	74.46	85.94	100.00	98.83
RR	19.97	12.30	14.26	14.26
KXIP	28.61	20.61	32.52	20.61
KKR	92.38	90.53	94.24	90.53
PWI	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00